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EA FC 26 World Cup Simulation Predicts Shocker 2026 Winner: How to unlock your own results through the special tournament?

Category: FC 26 Posted: Jun 10, 2026 Views: 13

Although the 2026 World Cup hasn't kicked off yet, you might already be curious about who will take home the trophy! Fans always back their own teams, while casual viewers might favor established powerhouses or the defending champions.

To celebrate the event, and despite the lack of official FIFA licensing, FC 26 has released The World's Game Update as a substitute, allowing you to soak up the tournament atmosphere as either a virtual player or a manager.

So, if you want a more immersive World Cup experience in FUT 26, beyond participating in promos linked to the real-world schedule, you can use AI simulations to predict the tournament's winner and runner-up yourself!

Here, we'll walk you through our simulation process and results. If you'd like to try it yourself, we've provided a guide as well!

EA FC 26 World Cup Simulation Predicts Shocker 2026 Winner: How to unlock your own results through the special tournament?

Simulation details and final results

First, it's important to note that the simulation relies on in-game data for the teams and players. Since real-world matches involve many unpredictable variables, these simulation results are for reference and entertainment purposes only.

The special tournament mode in EA FC 26 features 48 teams (matching the actual World Cup lineup), divided into 12 groups. The format progresses through group stages and knockout rounds, culminating in a final to determine the top finishers.

We followed this same schedule for our in-game simulation. To generate results quickly, we used the quick sim feature; however, if you want more precise outcomes, you can run your own simulation using the tutorial provided later.

Group Stage

During the simulated group stage, the game seemed to default to a 1-1 draw for matches where the outcome was uncertain, resulting in a high number of inconclusive ties.

That said, there were some notable highlights, such as Qatar defeating Ecuador 2-1 and Japan beating Tunisia 3-1. Other group stage winners included:

  • France
  • Colombia
  • England
  • Portugal
  • Croatia
  • Morocco
  • Curaçao
  • Germany
  • Spain
  • Belgium

Overall, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland took the lead in Group B, with Canada close behind. In Group C, Brazil and Morocco are currently vying for the top two spots, while Scotland sits in third place.

In Group D, Turkey and Australia hold the top two positions, with the USA at the bottom. Ivory Coast and Germany lead Group E, while Curaçao is currently third.

Japan and Netherlands occupy the top two spots in Group F, though Netherlands faces pressure from Sweden and Tunisia.

In Group G, Belgium has demonstrated expected dominance; Egypt is second, while Iran, with only one point, sits in third. Iran might still advance as one of the best third-placed teams if they win their final match.

Spain and Uruguay hold the top two spots in Group H, though Cape Verde is challenging Uruguay's position. In Group I, France sits at the top, with Senegal and Norway in second and third place, respectively.

Algeria leads Group J, a somewhat surprising development, followed by Argentina in second, while Austria and Jordan are at the bottom. However, Austria's goal difference appears insufficient to secure a spot as one of the best third-placed teams.

Portugal and Colombia occupy the top two spots in Group K, with the Democratic Republic of the Congo, a formidable opponent, sitting in third. In Group L, England and Croatia hold the top two positions, and Panama is third.

Following these results, another round of matches took place between the top teams from each group; the results are as follows:

  • Brazil vs. Morocco: 2-2
  • Netherlands vs. Japan: 1-1
  • Germany vs. Curaçao: 2-0
  • Norway vs. Iraq: 2-0
  • Belgium vs. Egypt: 2-1
  • Spain vs. Cape Verde: 3-3
  • France vs. Senegal: 1-1
  • Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2-0
  • Argentina vs. Algeria: 2-1
  • England vs. Croatia: 1-0
  • Colombia vs. Uzbekistan: 3-0

Knockout Stage

The purpose of the knockout stage is to determine which teams will advance to the final phase of the tournament. Based on this, the first stage is the round of 32; notable simulation results include:

  • Germany vs. Scotland: 3-1
  • Morocco vs. Japan: 3-2
  • Brazil vs. Sweden: 2-0
  • France vs. Netherlands: 1-0
  • Norway vs. England: 3-2
  • Belgium vs. Austria: 2-1
  • Colombia vs. Panama: 2-2
  • Spain vs. Algeria: 5-3
  • Argentina vs. Uruguay: 3-2
  • USA vs. Portugal: 2-1
  • Ivory Coast vs. Senegal: 2-1
  • Turkey vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 3-1
  • Australia vs. Iran: 2-1
  • Czech Republic vs. Cape Verde: 3-2
  • Switzerland vs. Egypt: 2-0

Next is the round of 16; the teams advancing include:

  • Germany
  • Morocco
  • Algeria
  • Belgium
  • Ivory Coast
  • Norway
  • Argentina
  • Switzerland

Finals

The first part of this stage is the quarter-finals, featuring the eight teams that advanced from the round of 16. The winners in FC 26 simulation were:

  • Germany
  • Belgium
  • Argentina
  • Norway

Consequently, the semi-final matchups saw Norway face Switzerland on one side and Belgium face Germany on the other. The eventual winners were Germany and Norway, who then faced off in the final: Germany took first place!

Additionally, Belgium defeated Switzerland 3-1 to secure third place.

In summary, the results of this FIFA 26 simulation for the 2026 World Cup are:

  • Champion: Germany
  • Runner-up: Norway
  • Third Place: Belgium
  • Fourth Place: Switzerland

Along the way, there were indeed dark horse teams and shock exist, but who can guarantee that real-life matches won't play out the same way? After all, beyond skill, luck is a crucial factor!

Buy IGGM FC 26 Coins to unlock more players and simulate more reliable match results

How is the simulation conducted?

If you enjoy playing it yourself, or want to run multiple simulations and aggregate the data for potentially more reliable results, you can run your own simulation using World's Game Mode tournament feature.

You can choose a preset tournament or create a custom one, add the national teams or clubs you wish to include, and configure the specific tournament rules.

How does FC 26 connect to the current World Cup?

Due to a lack of official licensing, FC 26 is celebrating the World Cup through The World's Game Update rather than a dedicated mode, meaning it misses out on many authentic World Cup elements.

Fortunately, however, you can track the World Cup performance of certain teams via Path to Glory promo; the game grants stat boosts to the corresponding players based on their teams' real-world results!

The event kicked off last Friday, June 5, including two squads; Team 2 is set to launch this coming Friday, stay tuned!

As this year's biggest sporting event, the World Cup has drawn widespread attention across various sectors, with people finding many ways to predict the outcome. Who will ultimately be crowned champion is sure to be the most compelling question of the summer!

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